Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.007046 0.007900 0.008831 0.009924 0.011175 0.012567 0.014236
2025-02-23 0.005579 0.006714 0.008056 0.009772 0.011920 0.014540 0.018008
2025-03-02 0.004877 0.006149 0.007737 0.009887 0.012752 0.016483 0.021780
2025-03-09 0.004309 0.005635 0.007364 0.009814 0.013247 0.017964 0.025072
2025-03-16 0.003762 0.005067 0.006829 0.009421 0.013208 0.018652 0.027280
2025-03-23 0.003431 0.004748 0.006582 0.009376 0.013622 0.019990 0.030582
2025-03-30 0.003288 0.004671 0.006658 0.009791 0.014740 0.022491 0.036030
2025-04-06 0.002977 0.004318 0.006293 0.009493 0.014709 0.023167 0.038553
2025-04-13 0.002719 0.004019 0.005977 0.009233 0.014696 0.023850 0.041154
2025-04-20 0.002548 0.003837 0.005823 0.009209 0.015060 0.025195 0.045118
2025-04-27 0.002467 0.003787 0.005868 0.009513 0.016008 0.027659 0.051549
2025-05-04 0.002326 0.003629 0.005726 0.009481 0.016352 0.029063 0.056104
2025-05-11 0.002214 0.003518 0.005660 0.009593 0.017006 0.031193 0.062660
2025-05-18 0.002068 0.003339 0.005466 0.009461 0.017192 0.032455 0.067625
2025-05-25 0.001977 0.003244 0.005410 0.009571 0.017853 0.034752 0.075318
2025-06-01 0.001866 0.003107 0.005265 0.009500 0.018142 0.036305 0.081567
2025-06-08 0.001721 0.002898 0.004976 0.009122 0.017757 0.036355 0.084158
2025-06-15 0.001635 0.002790 0.004863 0.009079 0.018068 0.037983 0.091054
2025-06-22 0.001614 0.002800 0.004966 0.009478 0.019376 0.042071 0.105298
2025-06-29 0.001509 0.002643 0.004746 0.009191 0.019131 0.042458 0.109451
2025-07-06 0.001415 0.002506 0.004551 0.008941 0.018941 0.042957 0.114033
2025-07-13 0.001356 0.002427 0.004466 0.008918 0.019276 0.044809 0.123038
2025-07-20 0.001335 0.002422 0.004525 0.009211 0.020392 0.048832 0.139700